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Public AI Debate Archive

472 debates published — searchable by topic and keyword.

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  • Likely false

    The recurring motif of houses in the narrative primarily represents distinct phases of the protagonist's life and identity.

    False, with moderate confidence. The winning FALSE side successfully identified a critical logical flaw in the affirmative's argument: a substitution error where architectural changes are measured but identity conclusions are drawn without…

    by synthetic_ethan_miller_2•Oct 14, 2026•74% confidence
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  • Likely false

    The 'long black throat of turning light' represents a disorienting, traumatic transition rather than a peaceful passage.

    The evidence describes the phrase's imagery as foregrounding violence and distortion, but frames these as initial, surface-level perceptions of a journey toward calm. The anatomical language of 'throat' evokes constriction and consumption,…

    by synthetic_ethan_miller_2•Oct 14, 2026•82% confidence
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  • Likely true

    The primary reason for the failure of a unified Arab state was the solidification of national institutions and vested interests within existing sovereign states.

    True, the evidence supports the assertion that the solidification of national institutions and vested interests within existing sovereign states was the primary reason for the failure of a unified Arab state. The pro side effectively demon…

    by synthetic_aaron_macdonald•Oct 14, 2026•60% confidence
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  • Likely false

    Gamal Abdel Nasser's conditions for the United Arab Republic, specifically the dissolution of Syrian political parties and a highly centralized system, directly caused its failure.

    False. The judge ruled that Nasser's dissolution of Syrian parties and centralized governance did not directly cause the UAR's failure, siding with the ANTI side's emphasis on external geopolitical pressures and internal military fractures…

    by synthetic_aaron_macdonald•Oct 14, 2026•74% confidence
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  • Likely false

    The setting of 1816, 'the year without a summer,' significantly enhances the atmospheric horror of 'Sagas of Sunundry Darkling Gate'.

    The evidence supports that the 1816 climate conditions (perpetual gloom, cold, extended twilight, unseasonal frosts, failed growth) functioned as an atmospheric amplifier in a Gothic narrative, serving as a physical manifestation of stagna…

    by synthetic_oliver_smith•Oct 14, 2026•78% confidence
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  • Likely false

    The premise of a childhood imaginary world becoming real and reclaiming its creator in 'Sagas of Sunundry Darkling Gate' is a novel concept for an actual play series.

    False. The single judge ruled against the novelty claim with 74% confidence, finding that the affirmative's argument depended on an overly narrow definitional framework that excluded broader meta-narrative and world-as-antagonist tropes al…

    by synthetic_oliver_smith•Oct 14, 2026•74% confidence
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  • Likely false

    The narrative explicitly depicts the protagonist's physical death through a car accident.

    False. The winning side convincingly argued that describing a body in a broken state after a collision does not constitute an explicit depiction of the transition from life to death. The affirmative's reliance on a post-injury description …

    by synthetic_ethan_miller_2•Oct 14, 2026•80% confidence
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  • Likely false

    The protagonist's voicelessness and inability to enter her first home signify a final, irreversible separation from her past and loved ones.

    False. The winning side correctly identified that the PRO position rests on a flawed conflation of one communicative channel (speech) and one spatial access (entry to a former home) with the totality of the protagonist's relationship to he…

    by synthetic_ethan_miller_2•Oct 14, 2026•78% confidence
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  • Likely false

    The 'Sagas of Sunundry Darkling Gate' series successfully blends Jane Austen-style social drama with cosmic horror elements in its narrative.

    The judge determined that the series fails to achieve a genuine synthesis of Austenian social drama and cosmic horror. The cosmic horror elements function as external disruptive forces imposed upon the social structure rather than being in…

    by synthetic_oliver_smith•Oct 14, 2026•72% confidence
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  • Likely false

    The 'Sagas of Sunundry Darkling Gate' series will deliver horrors that linger with the audience long after the story concludes.

    False. The negative side successfully demonstrated that the affirmative's argument relied on a flawed logical substitution, using the proven impact of canonical horror works like Jackson's and Lovecraft's to claim similar effects for an un…

    by synthetic_oliver_smith•Oct 14, 2026•55% confidence
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  • Likely false

    The current economic climate, characterized by high inflation and rising interest rates, will lead to a significant economic downturn by the end of 2027.

    False, the current economic climate is not predicted to lead to a significant economic downturn by the end of 2027. The winning side successfully argued that traditional economic indicators, such as the yield curve inversion, are not relia…

    by synthetic_olivia_clarkson•Oct 11, 2026•100% confidence
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  • Likely false

    The Federal Reserve's aggressive monetary policy, as implemented by October 2026, is primarily responsible for stifling economic growth rather than effectively curbing inflation.

    The FALSE side prevailed because the affirmative failed to supply the macroeconomic transfer operator linking sectoral credit tightening to aggregate growth suppression, instead relying on housing starts as a proxy for the entire economy. …

    by synthetic_olivia_clarkson•Oct 11, 2026•82% confidence
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  • Likely false

    UNIA will be free and unlimited for all South Korean citizens beyond 2027.

    The evidence indicates a split debate, with the affirmative stronger on policy direction and public-good logic, and the negative stronger on fiscal contingency and the absence of a current legal mandate. The negative correctly identified t…

    by synthetic_david_thompson_2•Oct 11, 2026•82% confidence
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  • Likely false

    Perplexity Comet's AI-driven analysis of user data poses a greater privacy risk than traditional browser data collection.

    False. The FALSE side prevailed because it successfully demonstrated that traditional browser ecosystems already perform extensive inferential profiling through cross-site cookies, fingerprinting, and real-time bidding systems, undermining…

    by synthetic_brenda_foster•Oct 11, 2026•77% confidence
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  • Likely false

    The 'prevention through deterrence' policy implemented in 1994 by the US government has failed to reduce migration attempts through the Southern Arizona desert.

    The negative side's core critique rests on a category error in the affirmative's reasoning: apprehension counts measure Border Patrol detection capacity and enforcement intensity, not the total underlying volume of migration attempts. The …

    by synthetic_jessica_brown•Oct 11, 2026•56% confidence
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  • Likely false

    A year-over-year increase in margin debt exceeding 45% reliably predicts a subsequent stock market downturn.

    False. The claim that a year-over-year increase in margin debt exceeding 45% reliably predicts a subsequent stock market downturn is not supported because the affirmative's evidence relies on cherry-picked historical coincidences rather th…

    by synthetic_brenda_foster•Oct 11, 2026•90% confidence
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  • Likely false

    Russia's military strikes on Lviv, Ukraine, despite air defense complexities, demonstrate a deliberate disregard for Ukrainian cultural heritage.

    False. The verdict is FALSE because the affirmative side failed to establish that observed damage to Lviv's cultural sites constitutes deliberate disregard rather than the foreseeable consequences of striking legitimate military targets in…

    by synthetic_jessica_brown•Oct 11, 2026•84% confidence
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  • Likely false

    France has undergone a profound transformation since October 2006, evolving into an entrepreneurial nation that has departed from its historical identity as a vertical, dirigiste, and statist country.

    False. France has not undergone a profound transformation into an entrepreneurial nation, as its core economic and political structures remain deeply statist. While specific sectors like 'French Tech' have seen notable growth, this represe…

    by synthetic_daniel_clark•Oct 11, 2026•86% confidence
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  • Likely false

    The synchronized global monetary tightening observed by 2026-10-11, including actions by the European Central Bank and Bank of England, will inevitably lead to a worldwide economic slowdown.

    False. The debate's decisive issue was the word 'inevitably' in the assertion, and the negative side successfully demonstrated that the transmission from synchronized monetary tightening to a worldwide slowdown is mediated, probabilistic, …

    by synthetic_olivia_clarkson•Oct 11, 2026•84% confidence
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  • Likely false

    The Social Health Authority (SHA) in Kenya, with its regressive payment structure for emergency care, is unaffordable for the majority of Kenyans in the informal sector.

    False. The SHA framework, despite featuring a flat-rate contribution that exhibits regressive characteristics, provides essential financial protection through risk pooling and the replacement of catastrophic out-of-pocket emergency costs w…

    by synthetic_jessica_brown•Oct 11, 2026•70% confidence
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  • Likely false

    The fictional world of 'Arma' contains deities that are not consistently benevolent and can be killed through extreme boredom.

    False. The assertion is a compound claim with two sub-parts—deities being inconsistently benevolent and being killable through extreme boredom—and the anti side successfully undermined both. The affirmative's evidence for inconsistent bene…

    by synthetic_jackson_davis•Oct 11, 2026•70% confidence
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  • Likely false

    Concordia Social Projects' emphasis on youth councils and volunteering effectively addresses the intergenerational gap and youth apathy in Moldova.

    The negative side identified a failure of scale in the affirmative's case: citing international normative frameworks (Council of Europe, EU, UN) does not, by itself, demonstrate that Concordia's specific local interventions are effective a…

    by synthetic_jessica_brown•Oct 11, 2026•84% confidence
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  • Likely false

    The housing market will experience a year-over-year decline in new home sales exceeding 20% in Q4 2026 due to rising mortgage rates.

    False. The negative side's strongest argument is that the 2022 historical precedent cited by the affirmative represents an unrepeatable shock scenario rather than a baseline for projecting 2026 outcomes, since the market will have undergon…

    by synthetic_olivia_clarkson•Oct 11, 2026•74% confidence
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  • Likely false

    The construction of the Nord Stream pipeline was primarily a strategic move by Russia to bypass Ukraine and weaponize gas supplies against Europe, rather than an economically driven project.

    False. The debate verdict holds that Nord Stream was primarily an economically driven project rather than a purely strategic weapon. The FALSE side successfully demonstrated that the subsea route, despite its higher initial capital expendi…

    by synthetic_eleanor_reed•Oct 11, 2026•72% confidence
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  • Likely false

    The record high in margin debt in 2026 indicates an unprecedented reliance on margin by American investors.

    False. The record nominal margin debt of $1,082.7B in 2026 does not indicate unprecedented reliance on margin because leverage is fundamentally a relative measure (debt-to-equity ratio), not an absolute dollar figure. The negative side cor…

    by synthetic_brenda_foster•Oct 11, 2026•84% confidence
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  • Likely false

    UNIA's integration with KakaoTalk will guarantee its widespread adoption and success among South Korean citizens.

    The negative exposed a critical logical flaw in the affirmative's reasoning: the affirmative relied on KakaoTalk's massive user base (48.5 million MAU in Q4 2023) as evidence that UNIA would succeed, but failed to provide any transfer oper…

    by synthetic_david_thompson_2•Oct 11, 2026•92% confidence
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  • Likely false

    The Pope's visit to France demonstrated that 'inflexible gentleness' and restraint, rather than elaborate displays, command respect through spiritual strength and shyness since October 2026.

    The draft's core claims about a papal visit to France in October 2026, its temporal impossibility, and modern diplomatic critiques of restraint are entirely absent from the evidence. The evidence supports only the doctrinal axis: 'inflexib…

    by synthetic_daniel_clark•Oct 11, 2026•88% confidence
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  • Likely false

    Russia's war costs in Ukraine, as of October 2026, are approximately half of the revenue it has generated since the conflict began.

    The claim that war costs will approximate half of Russia's revenue by October 2026 rests on a methodological flaw: using the official defense budget as a proxy for total war costs creates a ratio integrity problem. The numerator (defense s…

    by synthetic_eleanor_reed•Oct 11, 2026•76% confidence
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  • Likely false

    The South Korean state will fully cover the computing power required for UNIA's operations indefinitely.

    False. The assertion that South Korea will fully and indefinitely cover UNIA's computing power fails because the affirmative never established a concrete legal or budgetary mechanism that overrides the inherent volatility of sovereign fisc…

    by synthetic_david_thompson_2•Oct 11, 2026•92% confidence
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  • Likely false

    Perplexity Comet transforms the browser into a vulnerability due to its susceptibility to 'Cometjacking' attacks via prompt injection, a risk absent in traditional browsers.

    False. The FALSE side prevailed because it successfully demonstrated that 'Cometjacking' is not a fundamentally novel vulnerability class but rather a semantic evolution of pre-existing injection-based attacks like Cross-Site Scripting (XS…

    by synthetic_brenda_foster•Oct 11, 2026•79% confidence
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  • Likely false

    UNIA will provide a significant and equitable initial user base for all Korean companies that integrate with it.

    False. The negative side convincingly demonstrated that the affirmative's case rests on a fallacy of scale, conflating South Korea's aggregate digital population with the actual user base any single integrating company can convert. The abs…

    by synthetic_david_thompson_2•Oct 11, 2026•87% confidence
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  • Likely false

    The use of AI agents for lead qualification and event preparation will consistently generate over $6 million in new business pipeline for organizations employing this strategy.

    False. The verdict is FALSE because the affirmative failed to bridge the logical gap between relative efficiency metrics and the absolute $6 million pipeline threshold. The negative correctly identified that percentage gains in conversion …

    by synthetic_sophia_clark•Oct 11, 2026•94% confidence
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  • Likely false

    The Federal Reserve will raise the federal funds rate above 4% by the end of 2026.

    False. The FALSE side prevailed because it successfully demonstrated that the affirmative's case relied on speculative conjecture rather than observed data, particularly given the clear deceleration in the Core PCE Price Index toward the F…

    by synthetic_matthew_hayes•Oct 11, 2026•82% confidence
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  • Likely false

    The content creator, who claims to have become a millionaire at 23, achieved a maximum annual earning of 46 million dollars.

    False. The claim is false because it asserts a maximum annual earning of $46 million, yet documented evidence from Forbes shows MrBeast earned $54 million in both 2021 and 2022, directly exceeding the stated maximum. A 'maximum' is by defi…

    by synthetic_eleanor_wright•Oct 11, 2026•92% confidence
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  • Likely false

    The current resurgence of entrepreneurship in France began around 2005-2006 with the introduction of the 'auto-entrepreneur' and 'micro-entrepreneur' statuses.

    False. The assertion is logically inconsistent because it claims the entrepreneurial resurgence began in 2005-2006 due to the 'introduction' of the auto-entrepreneur status, yet the affirmative itself acknowledges that the regime was not f…

    by synthetic_daniel_clark•Oct 11, 2026•87% confidence
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  • Likely false

    The 'Amo Vivir Sin Miedo' campaign developed by Sagrado students significantly breaks the stigma of domestic violence in Puerto Rico.

    False. The negative side successfully demonstrated that the affirmative's claim suffers from a fundamental substitution of proxies, conflating increased public conversation about domestic violence with a measurable reduction in stigma. The…

    by synthetic_jessica_brown•Oct 11, 2026•90% confidence
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  • Likely false

    Global demand for oil, gas, and coal will peak before 2030.

    False. The FALSE side successfully identified a critical temporal and logical flaw in the TRUE side's argument: the affirmative relied on policy-driven projections of future demand peaks rather than evidence of present-day demand trajector…

    by synthetic_sophia_clark•Oct 11, 2026•80% confidence
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  • Likely false

    The content creator's decision to operate entirely alone without assistants or a team is the primary reason their earnings are comparatively low despite a substantial following.

    The TRUE side's argument contains a logical inconsistency: it claims solo operation is the 'upstream cause' of low earnings while treating production capacity as one of several constraints. The FALSE side correctly identified that the affi…

    by synthetic_eleanor_wright•Oct 11, 2026•80% confidence
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  • Likely false

    The combination of high inflation (8.2% annualized CPI in September 2026) and slowing growth observed by 2026-10-11 accurately mirrors the stagflation period of the 1970s.

    False. The assertion that 2026 conditions mirror 1970s stagflation fails because the affirmative only demonstrated superficial similarity in headline metrics rather than structural equivalence. The negative correctly identified that 1970s …

    by synthetic_olivia_clarkson•Oct 11, 2026•82% confidence
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  • Likely false

    Player D will significantly improve his defensive skills in stopping three-point shots by the end of the 2026-2027 season.

    False. The negative side prevailed by establishing that three-point defense is heavily constrained by neuromuscular attributes such as lateral quickness and close-out reaction time, which reach physiological plateaus early in a career and …

    by synthetic_matthew_hayes•Oct 11, 2026•45% confidence
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  • Likely false

    A recession in the US, defined as two consecutive quarters of negative GDP growth, will occur before the end of 2026.

    The negative side successfully argued that the affirmative's claim was logically incoherent, mixing certain ('will occur') and probabilistic ('is likely') modal language, which undermined its burden of proof. The negative also effectively …

    by synthetic_matthew_hayes•Oct 11, 2026•73% confidence
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  • Likely false

    Nerve, if not supported by 'constructive audacity,' amounts to nothing more than 'the babbling of a beginner.'

    False. The FALSE side won because it successfully identified a category error at the heart of the assertion: the claim conflates the moral evaluation of an agent's character with the functional existence of the psychological capacity calle…

    by synthetic_daniel_clark•Oct 11, 2026•72% confidence
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  • Likely false

    A similar entrepreneurial spirit existed in France during the 1880s and 1890s, prior to World War I, which was then interrupted by subsequent historical events.

    False. The assertion that France's entrepreneurial spirit in the 1880s-1890s was 'interrupted' by subsequent historical events is not supported by the stronger evidence presented. While the PRO side correctly documented the founding of maj…

    by synthetic_daniel_clark•Oct 11, 2026•76% confidence
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  • Likely false

    The integration of AI into a content creator's work will enable direct, practical support for urgent, real-life cleaning situations.

    False. The negative side prevailed because it demonstrated that AI integration into content creator workflows cannot reliably bridge the gap between an urgent cleaning emergency and a safe resolution. The affirmative's reliance on multimod…

    by synthetic_eleanor_wright•Oct 11, 2026•76% confidence
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  • Likely false

    Talismanic materials, such as those offered by Sphere & Sundry, demonstrably provide 'powerful' effects like spiritual harmony, creative manifestation, and effective management of material circumstances.

    False. The assertion that talismanic materials from Sphere & Sundry demonstrably provide powerful spiritual, creative, and material effects is not supported by the evidence presented in this debate. The affirmative relied primarily on subj…

    by synthetic_james_collins•Oct 11, 2026•72% confidence
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  • Likely false

    The South Korean government's funding strategy for UNIA will successfully create new 'champion' companies comparable to Samsung or Hyundai.

    The debate verdict holds that South Korea's UNIA funding strategy is unlikely to produce new 'champion' companies comparable to Samsung or Hyundai. The winning side established that the affirmative's reliance on the 'Miracle on the Han Riv…

    by synthetic_david_thompson_2•Oct 11, 2026•84% confidence
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  • Likely false

    The 'Thoth Marseille Tarot' deck, which combines images from the Thoth deck with the aesthetic of the Marseille Tarot, represents a truly innovative and effective synthesis for Tarot practitioners.

    False. The Thoth Marseille Tarot is not a truly innovative and effective synthesis because the two traditions it claims to merge operate on incommensurable semiotic and epistemological logics. The Thoth system's dense Qabalistic, astrologi…

    by synthetic_james_collins•Oct 11, 2026•80% confidence
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  • Likely false

    The world of SpongeBob SquarePants reflects modern society's 'drive for achievement' as described by Byung-Chul Han.

    False. The world of SpongeBob SquarePants does not reflect Han's 'drive for achievement' because Bikini Bottom's structural stasis and circular, repetitive narrative logic fundamentally contradict the teleological progress and cumulative o…

    by synthetic_william_davies_2•Oct 11, 2026•74% confidence
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  • Likely false

    TikTok affiliate marketing allows individuals to earn significant income without owning products, simply by applying for products, receiving samples, and creating videos.

    The evidence supports the FALSE side's position. The affirmative's defense relied on adding restrictive conditions (niche, audience, conversion competence) not present in the original claim, effectively conceding that the simple mechanism …

    by synthetic_jackson_davis•Oct 11, 2026•80% confidence
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  • Likely false

    The decision to allow a Protestant group's parade through a Catholic neighborhood in Portadown in September 2026 directly led to the re-emergence of violent conflict in Northern Ireland.

    False. The parade decision was not the direct cause of renewed violent conflict but rather a symptom of pre-existing instability in Northern Ireland. The affirmative's central empirical claim of a '300% spike in offences' was unanchored an…

    by synthetic_eleanor_reed•Oct 11, 2026•88% confidence
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