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Public AI Debate Archive

48 debates published — searchable by topic, asset and sector.

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  • Open

    it is possible to make marshmallows at home with a simple oven and basic ingresidients and any natural flavoring, all flavours will work

    🌳 Decision Tree — Final Synthesis Question: it is possible to make marshmallows at home with a simple oven and basic ingresidients and any natural flavoring, all flavours will work 🏆 Answer: Not all flavors work (70%) 💭 Synthesis: The '…

    by mehditesteur•Sep 4, 2026•50% confidence
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  • True

    It is possible to make marshmallows at home with a simple oven and basic ingredients, but not all natural flavorings will work

    The assertion is partially supported: Serious Eats' recipe testing confirms that homemade marshmallows can be produced using stovetop heating and ambient air-drying, but the evidence also indicates that most professional and home recipes r…

    by mehditesteur•Sep 4, 2026•70% confidence
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  • True

    It is possible to make marshmallows at home with a simple oven and basic ingredients, and all natural flavorings will work

    True, the assertion is best resolved as TRUE, though with moderate confidence due to its compound nature. The first sub-claim—that marshmallows can be made at home with a simple oven and basic ingredients—is well-supported by multiple reci…

    by mehditesteur•Sep 4, 2026•55% confidence
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  • True

    TRUE or FALSE: For a European average citizen, a one-week holiday in a long-haul destination such as Latin America or the Caribbean (example the Dominican Republic) can often be cheaper overall than a comparable holiday in nearer destinations such as Morocco, Tunisia or even within Europe, once flights, accommodation, food and local expenses are taken into account.

    True — a one-week long-haul holiday to destinations such as the Dominican Republic can often be cheaper overall for a European citizen than a comparable holiday in Morocco, Tunisia, or Southern Europe, once all costs are bundled. The TRUE …

    by mehditesteur•Sep 2, 2026•62% confidence
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  • True

    TRUE or FALSE: There appears to be a recurring “price of fame”: the greater a person’s celebrity, wealth or exceptional success, the more likely that success is to be offset by serious costs to health, relationships, privacy or psychological well-being — suggesting that extraordinary success rarely comes without an equally extraordinary personal sacrifice.

    True — the weight of evidence across four debates supports the conclusion that extraordinary success, particularly in high-visibility domains, is systematically associated with elevated personal costs, even if those costs are not perfectly…

    by mehditesteur•Sep 2, 2026•62% confidence
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  • False

    TRUE or FALSE: The U.S. government disclosures concerning UFOs, UAPs and possible extraterrestrial intelligence are primarily a political distraction intended to divert public attention from the United States’ growing federal debt, fiscal deficits and broader concerns about the sustainability of public finances since May 2026.

    False — the assertion that U.S. government UAP and UFO disclosures since May 2026 are primarily a political distraction from federal debt and fiscal concerns was rejected unanimously across all four debates, with the single judge (anthropi…

    by mehditesteur•Sep 2, 2026•72% confidence
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  • False

    Is individual spiritual transformation sufficient to drive the systemic behavioral changes required to halt global environmental degradation?

    The claim that individual spiritual transformation can independently generate systemic changes sufficient to halt global environmental degradation is unsupported by the evidence. The decisive arguments emphasize a fundamental scale mismatc…

    by sebastien.jehan•Sep 2, 2026•92% confidence
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  • True

    Is anger a completely avoidable human emotion?

    True: anger is not a completely avoidable human emotion. The PRO side prevailed unanimously across all nine debates because it grounded its case in convergent neurobiological, cross-cultural, and clinical evidence showing that the amygdala…

    by sebastien.jehan•Sep 2, 2026•75% confidence
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  • False

    Is a revocable trust the most efficient method for a standard estate to avoid probate?

    False. The revocable living trust is not the most efficient probate-avoidance method for a standard estate because its total lifecycle cost—including upfront drafting fees averaging approximately $2,025 across California, New York, Texas, …

    by sebastien.jehan•Sep 2, 2026•65% confidence
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  • False

    Is the Iranian regime's increase in authoritarianism primarily driven by severe domestic economic hardship since June 2026?

    The evidence is mixed and does not clearly establish a single primary causal driver. The pro-side demonstrated that severe economic conditions (inflation above 65%, declining oil revenues, rising economic-related dissent arrests) coincided…

    by sebastien.jehan•Sep 2, 2026•56% confidence
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  • True

    Will the French Ministry of Education's plan to mandate one hour of AI instruction per week for high school sophomores starting in 2027 be sufficient to prepare students for the AI era?

    The French Ministry of Education's plan to mandate one hour of weekly AI instruction for high school sophomores starting in 2027 is judged sufficient to prepare students for the AI era, though only marginally so. The affirmative side succe…

    by sebastien.jehan•Sep 2, 2026•57% confidence
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  • False

    Are global nautilus populations currently stable?

    Global nautilus populations are not currently stable but are undergoing rangewide decline. IUCN Red List assessments list all five extant species as Vulnerable with 'decreasing' population trends. CPUE surveys document significant declines…

    by sebastien.jehan•Sep 2, 2026•69% confidence
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  • False

    Is avoiding nightlife entirely a healthy strategy for protecting a committed relationship?

    False: avoiding nightlife entirely is not a healthy strategy for protecting a committed relationship. The winning FALSE side demonstrated that relational fidelity is fundamentally sustained by internal factors—mutual trust, communication q…

    by sebastien.jehan•Sep 2, 2026•61% confidence
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  • False

    Will Dyson's AI-guided camera toothbrushes effectively eliminate the need for traditional flossing by 2030?

    False. The negative side prevailed in 6 of 9 debates with a confidence-weighted margin of 3.47 to 1.73, demonstrating that Dyson's AI-guided camera toothbrushes will not effectively eliminate the need for traditional flossing by 2030. The …

    by sebastien.jehan•Sep 2, 2026•67% confidence
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  • True

    Does frequently socializing with single friends threaten the stability of a committed relationship?

    Frequent socializing with single friends poses a measurable threat to committed relationship stability, though the evidence is mixed and the confidence is moderate. The strongest empirical support comes from the 2022 meta-analysis (doi:10.…

    by sebastien.jehan•Sep 2, 2026•55% confidence
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  • True

    Will quarterback Jordan Love be the primary focal point of the Green Bay Packers' offense in the 2026 NFL season?

    True, the debate evidence supports that Jordan Love will be the primary focal point of the Packers' 2026 offense, though the margin is narrow. The TRUE side's strongest arguments centered on Matt LaFleur's explicit 'let Jordan Love cook' m…

    by sebastien.jehan•Sep 2, 2026•55% confidence
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  • False

    Is the widespread use of generative AI by teenagers for homework and learning permanently irreversible?

    False. The widespread use of generative AI by teenagers for homework is not permanently irreversible. The strongest argument from the winning side exposes a fundamental logical contradiction in the TRUE position: claiming AI is a 'default …

    by sebastien.jehan•Sep 2, 2026•88% confidence
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  • True

    Do China's continued oil purchases from Iran fundamentally undermine the effectiveness of United States economic sanctions?

    True, China's continued oil purchases from Iran fundamentally undermine the effectiveness of United States economic sanctions, though the margin is narrow. The TRUE side prevailed by demonstrating that China has absorbed 1.4 million barrel…

    by sebastien.jehan•Sep 2, 2026•55% confidence
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  • True

    Will the United States be able to adequately power a projected quadrupling of data center operating capacity by 2030?

    The evidence supports that the United States will likely have sufficient aggregate capacity to meet AI-driven data-center demand by 2030, though with meaningful uncertainty. The strongest supporting evidence is the convergence of RAND, ICF…

    by sebastien.jehan•Sep 2, 2026•54% confidence
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  • True

    Is taking out a payday loan to avoid a bank overdraft fee a bad financial decision?

    True, taking out a payday loan to avoid a single bank overdraft fee is generally a bad financial decision. The strongest argument is the structural cost disparity: payday loans carry an APR of 390%, while overdraft fees are flat charges (m…

    by sebastien.jehan•Sep 2, 2026•58% confidence
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  • True

    Should individuals significantly reduce dining out in their hometowns in order to maximize their travel budgets?

    The affirmative side's strongest argument is the 3-5x cost differential between restaurant meals and home cooking, which translates to $200-400 in monthly savings and approximately $3,000 annually. The negative side's strongest counter is …

    by sebastien.jehan•Sep 2, 2026•82% confidence
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  • False

    Do most US households experience a substantial decline in their total income upon retirement?

    False. The claim requires both that more than 50% of households experience a 20%+ inflation-adjusted decline. While HRS and IRS data show median declines above 20% (24.4% for IRS ages 58-68, 26.4% for HRS year 1), the CPS data directly add…

    by sebastien.jehan•Sep 2, 2026•58% confidence
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  • False

    Will progressive candidate Angie Nixon win her 2026 Florida State Senate general election?

    The structural and financial barriers facing Nixon in a Florida statewide general election are substantial. The Republican voter-registration advantage of approximately 1.5 million voters statewide, combined with the historical absence of …

    by sebastien.jehan•Sep 2, 2026•90% confidence
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  • False

    Will Duane 'Keefe D' Davis successfully appeal his 2026 conviction for the murder of Tupac Shakur?

    The FALSE side prevailed, reflecting a consensus that Davis will not successfully appeal. The strongest anti-arguments centered on two pillars: first, multiple debaters demonstrated that no signed judgment of conviction appears in the offi…

    by sebastien.jehan•Sep 2, 2026•79% confidence
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  • False

    Will YouTube's policy of counting auto-plays from the first frame result in view metrics that fail to reflect genuine audience viewership?

    The evidence supports both sides of the debate. The pro side is supported by the August 24, 2026 policy text stating views are counted 'the moment a video starts to play,' and the distinction between TrueView views and public views. The an…

    by sebastien.jehan•Sep 2, 2026•55% confidence
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  • True

    Did the original disciples of Jesus genuinely believe they encountered him physically resurrected?

    True — the original disciples genuinely believed they encountered the physically resurrected Jesus. The strongest pillar supporting this verdict is the pre-Pauline creed of 1 Corinthians 15:3-8, which dates within a few years of the crucif…

    by sebastien.jehan•Sep 2, 2026•80% confidence
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  • False

    Do human emotions inherently lack wisdom and direction without cognitive guidance?

    False. The evidence supports the conclusion that human emotions do not inherently lack wisdom and direction without cognitive guidance, because subcortical affective circuits encode adaptive value through evolutionary and experiential lear…

    by sebastien.jehan•Sep 2, 2026•54% confidence
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  • True

    Will the integration of AI tools in secondary education ultimately exacerbate existing social and educational inequalities?

    The evidence supports the conclusion that AI integration in secondary education is more likely to exacerbate than reduce existing inequalities. The strongest arguments center on the structural dependence of AI effectiveness on preexisting …

    by sebastien.jehan•Sep 2, 2026•55% confidence
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  • False

    Does the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation effectively counter Western geopolitical influence in the Middle East?

    False. The Shanghai Cooperation Organisation does not effectively counter Western geopolitical influence in the Middle East because the states cited as evidence of an SCO pivot—Iran, Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Egypt, and Turkey—continue to mai…

    by sebastien.jehan•Sep 2, 2026•88% confidence
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  • False

    Is it acceptable for one partner to go out clubbing while restricting the other from doing the same?

    False: it is not acceptable for one partner to go out clubbing while restricting the other from doing the same. The anti-side's arguments prevailed by demonstrating that consent obtained under an existing authority gradient does not restor…

    by sebastien.jehan•Sep 2, 2026•88% confidence
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  • False

    Do genuinely random coincidences exist in human life?

    False. The winning FALSE side prevailed because it demonstrated that the affirmative's central argument is internally contradictory: invoking the law of truly large numbers as the explanation for coincidences that allegedly occur without a…

    by sebastien.jehan•Sep 2, 2026•77% confidence
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  • False

    Does taking a temporary break from a long-term pursuit significantly decrease the probability of ultimate success?

    False. The winning FALSE side prevailed because the strongest arguments demonstrated that the performance dip following a break is transient and recoverable, with relearning rates exceeding decay rates, and that strategic breaks serve as c…

    by sebastien.jehan•Sep 2, 2026•57% confidence
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  • False

    Are short sellers primarily responsible for the extreme price explosions observed during a short squeeze?

    False. The evidence establishes that extreme price spikes during short squeezes are primarily driven by exogenous long-side demand—coordinated retail buying and options-market-maker gamma hedging—rather than by short sellers themselves. Th…

    by sebastien.jehan•Sep 2, 2026•89% confidence
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  • True

    Do reverse mortgages provide a net financial benefit for retirees seeking to free up liquidity?

    The pro side is supported by model-calibrated welfare gains ($885 lump-sum equivalent at age 65) and CFPB evidence that the net present value of cash inflows exceeds upfront costs for borrowers who remain in their homes for at least five y…

    by sebastien.jehan•Sep 2, 2026•57% confidence
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  • False

    Does objective beauty exist in the universe independently of human perception?

    The debate centers on whether beauty is an objective, mind-independent property or a mind-dependent construct. Arguments for objectivity cite evolutionary grounding, measurable ratios (golden ratio), harmonic coherence, and universal perce…

    by sebastien.jehan•Sep 2, 2026•76% confidence
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  • True

    Are whale sharks inherently friendly toward humans?

    True, the evidence supports that whale sharks are inherently non-aggressive toward humans due to their obligate filter-feeding biology, which precludes predatory intent and capacity for vertebrate attacks. The species' anatomical design—la…

    by sebastien.jehan•Sep 2, 2026•65% confidence
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  • False

    Is physical electricity generation capacity 2026-09-02 a more valuable strategic resource for U.S. global power projection than the U.S. dollar?

    False. The U.S. dollar remains the more valuable strategic resource for global power projection than physical electricity generation capacity. The dollar's role as the dominant global reserve currency, accounting for approximately 58% of g…

    by sebastien.jehan•Sep 2, 2026•56% confidence
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  • True

    Is it realistic for the average household to fully fund a major international vacation with only by November 2026 of savings?

    The debate centers on whether an average household can fund a major international vacation through disciplined savings. The TRUE side argues that a $4,800–$5,200 trip is feasible by saving $400 per month over twelve months, supported by AA…

    by sebastien.jehan•Sep 2, 2026•54% confidence
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  • True

    Are environmental DNA (eDNA) surveys superior to traditional methods for detecting all species types in biodiversity assessments?

    The debate narrowly favors the position that eDNA surveys are generally superior to traditional methods, but only with low confidence because the compound claim includes the universal qualifier 'all species types,' which the evidence does …

    by sebastien.jehan•Sep 2, 2026•55% confidence
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  • False

    Should the international community legally codify and prosecute 'geocide' as a binding global crime by 2030?

    False. The international community should not codify and prosecute geocide as a binding global crime by 2030 because the primary obstacle to accountability is not the absence of a dedicated crime but the consent-based jurisdictional limits…

    by sebastien.jehan•Sep 2, 2026•68% confidence
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  • Open

    Does innertube require a literal cessation of human industrial activities to achieve true ecological harmony?

    <!-- DOCTITLEUSER:sebastien.jehan|solsicelegal.com/PROFILES/avatars/image-ehb39aqnx1xty9mpsshglm7x.jpg -- <!-- CLAIMBOX:SXMgaXQgYSBuZWNlc3NhcnkgY29uZGl0aW9uIG9mIHRoZSBpbm5lcnR1YmUgZnJhbWV3b3JrIHRoYXQgYWxsIGh1bWFuIGluZHVzdHJpYWwgYWN0aXZpdGl…

    by sebastien.jehan•Sep 2, 2026•50% confidence
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  • True

    Does the ability to execute unauthorized high-value transactions from locked iPhones represent a fundamental security flaw in Apple Pay?

    The TRUE side's strongest arguments rest on two mutually reinforcing models—a universal authentication gate for all transactions and an immutable Secure Enclave transaction gatekeeper—that together establish that Apple Pay requires user au…

    by sebastien.jehan•Sep 2, 2026•66% confidence
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  • False

    Will the Nepalese village of Betrati be fully rebuilt and repopulated by the end of 2030?

    False. The confidence-weighted verdict favors FALSE with a score of 3.24 versus 2.17 for TRUE, reflecting the strength of the anti side's dual-axis argument. The claim is compound, requiring both full physical reconstruction AND permanent …

    by sebastien.jehan•Sep 2, 2026•60% confidence
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  • False

    Was Google justified in renaming Lake Ontario to "Lake America" on its US maps?

    False. The FALSE side prevailed across six of nine debates because the strongest evidence showed that no genuine GNIS update ever replaced 'Lake Ontario' with 'Lake America' as the official primary name, meaning Google's label lacked the o…

    by sebastien.jehan•Sep 2, 2026•69% confidence
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  • False

    Will Apple Maps rename Lake Ontario to "Lake America" for US users by the end of 2027?

    False. The FALSE side prevailed because it presented direct empirical evidence—screenshots showing Apple Maps still displaying 'Lake Ontario' for US users as of mid-September 2026—which directly contradicts the claim that the rename would …

    by sebastien.jehan•Sep 2, 2026•55% confidence
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  • True

    Should France prioritize investing in sovereign artificial intelligence development over relying on established foreign AI technologies?

    True, France should prioritize sovereign AI development over reliance on established foreign AI technologies. The strongest arguments supporting this verdict center on France's layered governance model, which achieves strategic autonomy th…

    by sebastien.jehan•Sep 2, 2026•69% confidence
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  • True

    Investing primarily in global stocks is the best strategy for your PEA.

    The confidence-weighted verdict favors the proposition that allocating primarily to global stocks is the best strategy for a PEA, though only narrowly. The strongest pro-side argument is that PEA-eligible synthetic UCITS legally deliver gl…

    by Anonymous•Sep 1, 2026•55% confidence
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  • False

    Un débatteur dialectique construisant un système de pensées cohérent est il plus efficace qu'un débatteur empirique dont la démarche principale est de valider les déclarations avec des faits tangibles ?

    False : le débatteur empirique s'avère plus efficace que le débatteur dialectique pour établir la vérité dans un débat. La supériorité de l'empirisme repose sur sa capacité à trancher des contradictions factuelles par des mesures observabl…

    by quantumdividendquest•Aug 29, 2026•73% confidence
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