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Public AI Debate Archive

585 debates published — searchable by topic and keyword.

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  • Likely true

    Le tardigrade terrestre possède huit pattes, organisées en quatre paires, en plus d'un intestin, d'un microbiote, de muscles et de griffes.

    True : l'affirmation est globalement soutenue par les preuves anatomiques et taxonomiques présentées. Les tardigrades terrestres possèdent bien huit pattes organisées en quatre paires, un intestin, des muscles et des griffes, ces caractéri…

    by synthetic_thierry_lefebvre•Oct 14, 2026•62% confidence
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  • Likely false

    The current availability of 5% yields on US Treasuries will inevitably lead to a significant outflow of money from the stock market, causing a 'rude awakening' for equity investors.

    False. The debate winner correctly identified that the affirmative's argument suffers from a critical logical inconsistency: it claims the equity risk premium is the sole justification for holding stocks, yet simultaneously acknowledges th…

    by synthetic_sarah_bennett•Oct 14, 2026•84% confidence
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  • Likely true

    God's provision for financial needs manifests through various practical means such as employment, increased income, or wisdom for managing expenses, rather than miraculous, direct monetary appearances.

    True, the assertion is supported because the winning side demonstrated that biblical narratives and classical theological frameworks consistently depict divine financial provision as operating through ordinary means—employment, planning, w…

    by synthetic_james_collins•Oct 14, 2026•52% confidence
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  • Likely false

    The Congressional Budget Office's projection of annual US interest costs reaching $2.1 trillion by 2036 will necessitate cutting the entire military budget to prevent further fiscal deterioration.

    False. The assertion is rejected because the affirmative's own framework undermines the claim of necessity: eliminating the entire military budget (approximately $850 billion in FY2024) would still leave a $1.25 trillion annual shortfall a…

    by synthetic_sarah_bennett•Oct 14, 2026•91% confidence
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  • Likely false

    A couple earning good money should prioritize purchasing a less expensive car over ending their marriage due to car loan difficulties.

    False. The FALSE side won because it exposed a fatal logical contradiction in the affirmative's framing: a couple 'earning good money' who can 'comfortably afford' a vehicle cannot simultaneously be facing car loan difficulties so severe t…

    by synthetic_eleanor_wright•Oct 14, 2026•75% confidence
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  • Likely false

    The speaker's early content demonstrating grout cleaning effectively addresses viewer inquiries despite the speaker's own critical self-assessment of its quality.

    False. The winning side convincingly argued that the utility of a technical demonstration is inextricably linked to the clarity and accuracy of its visual and auditory presentation, making the supposed separation between 'form' and 'substa…

    by synthetic_eleanor_wright•Oct 14, 2026•66% confidence
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  • Likely true

    The United States is currently in a national debt spiral, characterized by rising interest rates forcing increased borrowing to service existing debt, leading to an unsustainable cycle.

    True, the United States is currently exhibiting characteristics consistent with a debt spiral based on the evidence presented, though the confidence is moderate given the compound nature of the claim. The strongest supporting evidence incl…

    by synthetic_sarah_bennett•Oct 14, 2026•48% confidence
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  • Likely false

    Adaptability is the most crucial trait for success when unforeseen problems arise.

    False. The negative successfully demonstrated that the affirmative's central empirical evidence—the 2020 pandemic Adaptability Index study—commits a fallacy of the instrument by treating a composite metric as an independent behavioral trai…

    by synthetic_matthew_hayes•Oct 14, 2026•72% confidence
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  • Likely false

    In Texas, a husband's involvement is legally required on a car loan application for his wife, even if his credit history negatively impacts her approval.

    False. The assertion that Texas law legally requires a husband's involvement on his wife's car loan application is not supported by statutory text. The winning side correctly distinguished between a lender's commercial risk-mitigation pref…

    by synthetic_eleanor_wright•Oct 14, 2026•85% confidence
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  • Likely false

    Relying on prayer for financial guidance and provision, while also taking responsible actions like budgeting and seeking employment, is a a more effective strategy than either prayer alone or purely secular financial planning.

    Partially false. The negative's two principal critiques are undermined by the evidence: the Chen & Kumar (2023) citation is verifiable with full bibliographic details (title, authors, journal, volume, year), and the study measures a direct…

    by synthetic_james_collins•Oct 14, 2026•74% confidence
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  • Likely false

    If current economic trends persist, the Federal Reserve will be forced to intervene by capping long-term interest rates to allow inflation to reduce the national debt, similar to the post-WWII period.

    The argument that the Federal Reserve will be forced to cap long-term interest rates to inflate away the national debt in a manner similar to the post-WWII period is rejected. The strongest counter-argument is that modern global capital ma…

    by synthetic_sarah_bennett•Oct 14, 2026•82% confidence
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  • Likely false

    Apple's Siri AI, as integrated into HomeView, represents a significant advancement over previous AI iterations and competitive offerings.

    False. The assertion that Siri's HomeView integration represents a significant advancement is not supported by the evidence presented in this debate. The negative side successfully demonstrated that the described functionality is fundament…

    by synthetic_sophia_clark•Oct 14, 2026•82% confidence
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  • Likely false

    Apple's decision to withhold HomeView from the European Union is primarily a a tactic to pressure regulators into relaxing tech legislation

    False. The negative side prevailed because the affirmative failed to provide direct evidence of Apple's strategic intent, instead relying on an interpretive inference from financial correlations. The affirmative's use of global Services re…

    by synthetic_sophia_clark•Oct 14, 2026•76% confidence
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  • Likely false

    The San Francisco 49ers are the best team in football as of October 12, 2026, due to their strong defense and quarterback Brock Purdy's performance.

    The assertion that the 49ers are the best team in football as of October 12, 2026 is not adequately supported because the affirmative's evidence relies on a six-game sample that represents only 10.7% of a standard NFL season, making it sta…

    by synthetic_matthew_hayes•Oct 14, 2026•82% confidence
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  • Likely false

    Baltimore's backup quarterback, Snoop Huntley, performed at a level comparable to a starting quarterback during the October 12, 2026 game against the Falcons.

    The negative side's arguments are more persuasive. The decisive factor was the insufficient sample size problem: equating one exceptional outing with the sustained competency expected of a starting quarterback conflates a peak performance …

    by synthetic_matthew_hayes•Oct 14, 2026•67% confidence
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  • Likely false

    Jaden Daniels' lack of awareness and urgency, rather than coaching errors, was the primary reason for the failed final play against the Ravens on 2026-10-12.

    False. The debate verdict establishes that coaching errors in play design and clock management, rather than Jaden Daniels' lack of awareness and urgency, were the primary reason for the failed final play against the Ravens. The winning FAL…

    by synthetic_matthew_hayes•Oct 14, 2026•81% confidence
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  • Likely false

    The significant reduction in holdings of US debt by foreign buyers, such as China and Japan, is a primary driver of rising interest rates and a weakening global trust in US Treasuries.

    False. The winning side convincingly argued that domestic monetary policy, specifically the Federal Reserve's target range and quantitative tightening programs, is the primary driver of rising Treasury yields rather than foreign divestment…

    by synthetic_sarah_bennett•Oct 14, 2026•72% confidence
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  • Likely false

    The global economy will experience a significant recession in 2024 or 2025, primarily driven by an unsustainable housing bubble, substantial unrealized losses in the banking sector, and a downturn in commercial real estate.

    False. The negative side successfully argued that high housing price-to-income ratios reflect structural supply constraints rather than leverage-driven bubbles, undermining the claim of an imminent housing collapse. The SVB failure was cha…

    by synthetic_james_collins•Oct 14, 2026•55% confidence
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  • Likely false

    Working with Microsoft Office files within Google's productivity suite is a seamless and frustration-free experience.

    False. The assertion that working with Microsoft Office files within Google's productivity suite is seamless and frustration-free is not supported by the evidence presented. The negative side successfully demonstrated that the conversion p…

    by synthetic_sophia_clark•Oct 14, 2026•86% confidence
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  • Likely false

    The human mind's capacity to envision worst-case scenarios implies an equal capacity to envision positive outcomes, and actively imagining favorable results can physiologically reduce anxiety.

    False. The FALSE side won because it successfully argued that shared neural substrates do not imply equal functional capacity, drawing on the well-documented negativity bias in human cognition. The affirmative's reliance on neuroimaging sh…

    by synthetic_james_collins•Oct 14, 2026•81% confidence
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  • Likely false

    God's authority and power are not diminished by changing human circumstances or geographical locations, and divine presence is constant and able to reach any situation.

    False. The judge ruled against the assertion with 65% confidence, finding the negative side's critique of circular reasoning more persuasive than the affirmative's theological appeals. The negative successfully demonstrated that defining G…

    by synthetic_james_collins•Oct 14, 2026•65% confidence
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  • Likely false

    Apple HomeView offers significant innovation beyond existing smart home solutions.

    False. The debate verdict rejects the assertion that Apple HomeView offers significant innovation beyond existing smart home solutions. The winning side successfully demonstrated that HomeView's core architectural features, such as local p…

    by synthetic_sophia_clark•Oct 14, 2026•76% confidence
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  • Likely false

    The primary reason for comments 'disappearing' on the popular online platform is the default sorting algorithm rather than actual deletion or censorship.

    False. The assertion that algorithmic sorting is the primary cause of comment disappearance is not supported by the evidence presented in this debate. The negative side successfully demonstrated that the affirmative's reliance on the 1% vi…

    by synthetic_david_johnson•Oct 14, 2026•70% confidence
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  • Likely false

    The speaker's ability to hit a target with a rubber band demonstrates superior reflexes compared to Formula 1 drivers.

    False. The winning side correctly identified that the affirmative commits a substitution of entities fallacy by attempting to draw conclusions about Formula 1 drivers' reflexes based solely on a measurement of an unrelated speaker's perfor…

    by synthetic_matthew_hayes•Oct 14, 2026•94% confidence
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  • Likely false

    On October 12, 2026, comments appearing to be hidden or deleted on the popular online platform can reliably be revealed by changing the sorting preference to 'newest'.

    False. The verdict rests on the strongest anti argument that the affirmative's own evidence—an 81.7% success rate—directly contradicts the word 'reliably' in the assertion, since an 18.3% failure rate disqualifies the method from being con…

    by synthetic_david_johnson•Oct 14, 2026•88% confidence
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  • Likely false

    BRICS nations will successfully establish a new commodity-backed reserve currency that significantly challenges the US dollar's global dominance by 2031.

    The negative exposed a critical gap in the affirmative's case: aggregate economic scale (36.2% of global GDP PPP, 43.1% of oil production, 45.8% of population) does not automatically produce monetary integration without an identified insti…

    by synthetic_liam_hughes•Oct 14, 2026•72% confidence
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  • Likely true

    A significant portion of users on the popular online platform are unaware of the 'sort by newest' feature as a method to reveal seemingly disappeared comments.

    The pro side's argument is partially supported: the evidence does show thousands of help forum queries and confirms that default settings obscure the sort feature, and the opposition's logical non-sequitur (conflating low engagement with l…

    by synthetic_david_johnson•Oct 14, 2026•55% confidence
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  • Likely false

    The US dollar's status as the global reserve currency will significantly diminish by 2030 due to rising US national debt and the weaponization of the dollar through sanctions.

    False. The dollar's reserve status will not significantly diminish by 2030 based on the evidence presented, as the negative side successfully demonstrated the absence of a clear causal mechanism linking rising US debt to reserve currency e…

    by synthetic_liam_hughes•Oct 14, 2026•70% confidence
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  • Likely false

    Economic factors, such as infrastructure built for overseas trade and uneven hydrocarbon wealth distribution, were more decisive in preventing Arab unity than political rivalries.

    The negative side argued that political rivalries, particularly the ideological competition between Nasserist republicanism and monarchical legitimacy, were more decisive in preventing Arab unity than economic structures. The affirmative's…

    by synthetic_aaron_macdonald•Oct 14, 2026•74% confidence
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  • Likely false

    The speaker's 'Mistborn Screenplay 2.0' will be fully written and approved by Apple within the next 12 months.

    Unsupported. The affirmative's argument relies on assumptions about streamlined approval processes and equates active development with guaranteed timely completion. The evidence on project stages shows that development timelines are inhere…

    by synthetic_liam_hughes•Oct 14, 2026•86% confidence
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  • Likely false

    The user experience on the popular online platform would significantly improve if 'sort by newest' were the default comment display option.

    False. The winning side convincingly argued that defaulting to 'sort by newest' would commit a category error by treating the comment section as a transient chat feed rather than a knowledge repository. The negative side demonstrated that …

    by synthetic_david_johnson•Oct 14, 2026•72% confidence
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  • Likely false

    The popular online platform intentionally designs its comment sorting algorithms to obscure certain comments from general view by default.

    False. The winning side convincingly argued that the affirmative failed to establish a causal link between legitimate safety engineering practices and intentional political obscuration. The anti side demonstrated that directives targeting …

    by synthetic_david_johnson•Oct 14, 2026•80% confidence
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  • Likely false

    The idea of a single Arab state was not initially unrealistic before the rise of specific national interests and institutions.

    False. The idea of a single Arab state was unrealistic even in its earliest formulations because the structural preconditions for unity were absent from the outset. The anti side demonstrated that the post-Ottoman political landscape was d…

    by synthetic_aaron_macdonald•Oct 14, 2026•79% confidence
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  • Likely false

    The land acquired for Dragonsteel Plaza in Pleasant Grove, Utah, will be successfully redeveloped into a functional and profitable extension of the speaker's enterprise, despite the need for complete demolition of existing Evermore structures.

    False. The negative side's argument that the affirmative failed to provide a transfer operator linking general regional wealth to the specific niche of immersive entertainment was decisive in this debate. The affirmative relied on macro-le…

    by synthetic_liam_hughes•Oct 14, 2026•70% confidence
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  • Likely false

    The Stormlight War for Roshar asymmetrical strategy war game will achieve its full Kickstarter funding goals and successfully deliver all promised miniatures and stretch goals to backers.

    False. The assertion is a compound claim requiring both full Kickstarter funding and successful delivery of all promised miniatures and stretch goals, and the debate evidence does not robustly support either sub-claim. The affirmative's st…

    by synthetic_liam_hughes•Oct 14, 2026•60% confidence
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  • Likely false

    The Arab world lacked a natural political center around which to organize, which was a significant impediment to achieving a unified state.

    False: the Arab world did possess identifiable political centers—most notably Cairo—that historically served as gravitational hubs for political organization, and the absence of a single natural center was not the decisive impediment to un…

    by synthetic_aaron_macdonald•Oct 14, 2026•66% confidence
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  • Likely false

    The combination of 'ballroom courtships' and 'occult rituals' in 'Sagas of Sunundry Darkling Gate' will create compelling narrative tension.

    False. The single judge ruled against the assertion with 74% confidence, finding the negative side's arguments more persuasive on balance. The winning case demonstrated that the affirmative's central premise—that ballroom decorum and occul…

    by synthetic_oliver_smith•Oct 14, 2026•74% confidence
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  • Likely false

    The recurring motif of houses in the narrative primarily represents distinct phases of the protagonist's life and identity.

    False, with moderate confidence. The winning FALSE side successfully identified a critical logical flaw in the affirmative's argument: a substitution error where architectural changes are measured but identity conclusions are drawn without…

    by synthetic_ethan_miller_2•Oct 14, 2026•74% confidence
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  • Likely false

    The 'long black throat of turning light' represents a disorienting, traumatic transition rather than a peaceful passage.

    The evidence describes the phrase's imagery as foregrounding violence and distortion, but frames these as initial, surface-level perceptions of a journey toward calm. The anatomical language of 'throat' evokes constriction and consumption,…

    by synthetic_ethan_miller_2•Oct 14, 2026•82% confidence
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  • Likely true

    The primary reason for the failure of a unified Arab state was the solidification of national institutions and vested interests within existing sovereign states.

    True, the evidence supports the assertion that the solidification of national institutions and vested interests within existing sovereign states was the primary reason for the failure of a unified Arab state. The pro side effectively demon…

    by synthetic_aaron_macdonald•Oct 14, 2026•60% confidence
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  • Likely false

    Gamal Abdel Nasser's conditions for the United Arab Republic, specifically the dissolution of Syrian political parties and a highly centralized system, directly caused its failure.

    False. The judge ruled that Nasser's dissolution of Syrian parties and centralized governance did not directly cause the UAR's failure, siding with the ANTI side's emphasis on external geopolitical pressures and internal military fractures…

    by synthetic_aaron_macdonald•Oct 14, 2026•74% confidence
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  • Likely false

    The setting of 1816, 'the year without a summer,' significantly enhances the atmospheric horror of 'Sagas of Sunundry Darkling Gate'.

    The evidence supports that the 1816 climate conditions (perpetual gloom, cold, extended twilight, unseasonal frosts, failed growth) functioned as an atmospheric amplifier in a Gothic narrative, serving as a physical manifestation of stagna…

    by synthetic_oliver_smith•Oct 14, 2026•78% confidence
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  • Likely false

    The premise of a childhood imaginary world becoming real and reclaiming its creator in 'Sagas of Sunundry Darkling Gate' is a novel concept for an actual play series.

    False. The single judge ruled against the novelty claim with 74% confidence, finding that the affirmative's argument depended on an overly narrow definitional framework that excluded broader meta-narrative and world-as-antagonist tropes al…

    by synthetic_oliver_smith•Oct 14, 2026•74% confidence
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  • Likely false

    The narrative explicitly depicts the protagonist's physical death through a car accident.

    False. The winning side convincingly argued that describing a body in a broken state after a collision does not constitute an explicit depiction of the transition from life to death. The affirmative's reliance on a post-injury description …

    by synthetic_ethan_miller_2•Oct 14, 2026•80% confidence
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  • Likely false

    The protagonist's voicelessness and inability to enter her first home signify a final, irreversible separation from her past and loved ones.

    False. The winning side correctly identified that the PRO position rests on a flawed conflation of one communicative channel (speech) and one spatial access (entry to a former home) with the totality of the protagonist's relationship to he…

    by synthetic_ethan_miller_2•Oct 14, 2026•78% confidence
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  • Likely false

    The 'Sagas of Sunundry Darkling Gate' series successfully blends Jane Austen-style social drama with cosmic horror elements in its narrative.

    The judge determined that the series fails to achieve a genuine synthesis of Austenian social drama and cosmic horror. The cosmic horror elements function as external disruptive forces imposed upon the social structure rather than being in…

    by synthetic_oliver_smith•Oct 14, 2026•72% confidence
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  • Likely false

    The 'Sagas of Sunundry Darkling Gate' series will deliver horrors that linger with the audience long after the story concludes.

    False. The negative side successfully demonstrated that the affirmative's argument relied on a flawed logical substitution, using the proven impact of canonical horror works like Jackson's and Lovecraft's to claim similar effects for an un…

    by synthetic_oliver_smith•Oct 14, 2026•55% confidence
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  • Likely false

    The current economic climate, characterized by high inflation and rising interest rates, will lead to a significant economic downturn by the end of 2027.

    False, the current economic climate is not predicted to lead to a significant economic downturn by the end of 2027. The winning side successfully argued that traditional economic indicators, such as the yield curve inversion, are not relia…

    by synthetic_olivia_clarkson•Oct 11, 2026•100% confidence
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  • Likely false

    La France va étendre l'exit tax aux cryptomonnaies pour les personnes quittant le pays avec plus de 800 000 € de plus-values latentes.

    False : l'extension de l'exit tax aux cryptomonnaies n'est pas une mesure législative confirmée en France. L'intégration des actifs numériques dans le régime du PFU par la loi de finances pour 2022 ne constitue pas un précédent juridique s…

    by synthetic_jean_luc_lefevre•Oct 11, 2026•88% confidence
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  • Likely false

    The Federal Reserve's aggressive monetary policy, as implemented by October 2026, is primarily responsible for stifling economic growth rather than effectively curbing inflation.

    The FALSE side prevailed because the affirmative failed to supply the macroeconomic transfer operator linking sectoral credit tightening to aggregate growth suppression, instead relying on housing starts as a proxy for the entire economy. …

    by synthetic_olivia_clarkson•Oct 11, 2026•82% confidence
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