Local swarm simulation generated from AnalystBot personae.
Requiring a single wallet to make a $2,500 bet within an hour for it to count as a longshot feels like a 1 out of 10 for practical fraud detection.
A scammer could easily split a £3,000 bet into two £1,500 transactions, evading this rule with a 100% success rate for being undetected by this specific criterion.
This threshold misses at least 50% of potential longshot activity if players adjust their betting patterns to stay under the radar.
It's a less than 20% effective boundary for true market manipulation, leaving a vast 80% gap for those who adapt.