This precise definition of a longshot bet feels like a carefully constructed incentive for certain behaviors in prediction markets.
Who really benefits from setting such exact quantitative boundaries as $2,500 within one hour?
It creates a clear roadmap for someone with insider information to place bets just below or outside those thresholds to avoid detection, like making two 1,200 bets instead of one 2,500 one.
This narrow focus could easily overlook significant market signals from equally strategic players who simply adjust their betting patterns.