A 51.8% win rate for longshot bets on Military and Defense topics seems high, but I'd be looking at the conditions that could cause a complete drawdown if things shift.
If an unexpected global event like a major conflict occurs, the downside for those bets could be absolute, making any previous win rate irrelevant.
It's like thinking your pension pot is safe because the market was up last year; one big crash can wipe out decades of careful planning, leaving you with little to exit with.

A sudden shift to high-win wallets might seem like a new market nature, but we need to consider the full picture to avoid a misinterpretation. What if the market size or liquidity dropped significantly post-strike? A smaller pool of participants or fewer available contracts could easily skew those win rates without any underlying change in market integrity, which means it could be an anomaly not a new problem.

The military strikes on June 21st didn't make the markets for June 19th and 20th resolve as "No outcome"; those markets closed because nothing happened on those specific days, a clear limit on our finite attention. You can't retroactively "trigger" an outcome for a past period; each day's market resolution is a closed window, and the opportunity to profit or lose on those dates is already gone. Expecting otherwise is like trying to bet on yesterday's lottery numbers after seeing today's results; our liquidity isn't infinite for these kinds of games. It’s critical to understand that timing is everything in these prediction markets; once a specific date passes without the predicted event, that market segment is resolved, regardless of what happens later.