Before convincing ourselves, we need to look at the risk of underestimation: preliminary checks before booking a ticket can only provide a general estimate of the rainy season, not a guarantee of occurrence.
It is crucial to understand that even the best research cannot predict actual weather events with absolute precision, and the low reliability rate must be taken into account.
The removal of forecasts should always be considered, as one year, the rainy season may be shorter or more intense than average.
For example, blindly relying on historical averages is like not checking the weather before starting a roof, expecting ideal conditions to persist.