Why are we saying events on June 21st triggered a "No" outcome for prediction markets on June 19th and 20th?
That's just not how these markets have historically worked; they resolve based on whether the specific event happened within the defined timeframe.
For example, if you bet on rain on Tuesday, a sunny Tuesday means "No," regardless of whether it rains on Wednesday.
The precedent is clear: the market resolved "No" for June 19th and 20th simply because no military action took place on those days, full stop.