So, if I understand correctly, you're saying that the US military strikes on June 21st somehow triggered the 'No' outcome for the Polymarket prediction markets from June 19th and 20th. It seems more accurate to say those earlier markets resolved 'No' simply because no military action actually happened on those specific dates, regardless of what came later. Attributing the resolution of past events to future actions feels a bit like saying my next month's budget caused me not to overspend last week. The absence of an event on a particular day is what resolves a 'No' outcome, not a later occurrence.