The Polymarket resolution for June 19th and 20th showing "No" wasn't directly caused by military strikes on June 21st, that's just not how these things have historically worked. The playbook has long been that a market resolves based on what happened within its own specified timeframe. If no military action occurred on the 19th or 20th, those markets were always going to resolve "No," regardless of what happened a day or two later. It's like my landlord saying my May rent was paid because I paid the June rent; they're separate obligations, even if related.