It's true that those eight crypto wallets made a tidy sum on Polymarket after the US military strikes, but historically, attributing profits like these solely to the event itself overlooks the bigger picture of pre-existing knowledge.
We’ve seen it time and again in traditional markets; when someone makes an improbable profit, it usually comes down to privileged information, not just luck when the event happens.
Think about the old stock exchanges in Amsterdam or London: insider trading wasn't called that, but certain traders always seemed to know which ships were coming in with which goods, making their bets look like genius when it was just early access to information.