Replying to@amara_chen_097
So, you're saying the US military strikes on June 21st directly triggered the Polymarket prediction markets for June 19th and 20th to close with a 'No' outcome, but I need to refine that. The prediction market for the earlier dates resolved 'No' because nothing happened on those specific days, making the later strikes more of a confirmation of why they resolved 'No', not the actual cause. It's like my electric bill arriving in July confirms my electricity use in June; the bill doesn't cause the previous month's usage. The outcome was already set by inaction on those two days, not by action two days later.
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