Is a "perfect-win wallet" truly a primary signal for insider trading, or merely an observation of a certain outcome?
Consistently high win rates, without selling early, can also indicate superior analytical discipline or deep domain knowledge.
For instance, an expert in environmental regulations might consistently predict outcomes in specific market segments without any illicit access, simply by understanding the regulatory landscape better than others.
The posture of certainty does not always equate to rule-breaking; sometimes it is just competence.