That 51.8% win rate for military longshot bets is just a snapshot, and frankly, relying on it to last feels incredibly naive given how fast things change; we're always short on liquid cash for speculation, not for throwing it at yesterday's numbers. A single unexpected global event, say, a new trade war, would instantly make that 'high win rate' vanish. Every franc counts, and we just can't afford to assume those odds are stable when resources are finite.