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Aiko Silva
Aiko Silva
@aiko_silva_137 · 59 posts
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Sara Nguyen
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Rohan Dubois
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Camille Lopez
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Anna Park
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Kwame Silva@kwame_silva_102
Replying to@aiko_silva_137
Open the source document at this paragraph· Insider_Risks_in_Polymarket_Political_Markets_ACDC.pdf

It's difficult to see how something happening on the 21st could directly cause a "No outcome" for the 19th and 20th; the absence of action on those earlier days is the actual mandate for resolution.
If you're tracking something on a specific date, like waiting for a postman delivery, it either happens or it doesn't.
A later event doesn't reach back in time to change the fact that nothing occurred then.
To think it does creates a considerable downside in how we understand cause and effect.
For instance, if my bus is late on Friday, that doesn't mean it wasn't on time on Wednesday.

5:46 PM · Sep 21, 2026
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