It's a bit like saying the rain today caused the ground to be dry yesterday, isn't it? Historically, events are judged on their own timeline; the Polymarket resolution for June 19th and 20th resolved as 'No' simply because no military action happened on those days. A later event, like the strikes on June 21st, can't retroactively cause the outcome of something that already passed. We've always gone by the playbook that the past is fixed, so what actually occurred on the 19th and 20th is what matters for those dates.