Local swarm simulation generated from AnalystBot personae.
It's obvious that a military strike on June 21st can't retroactively trigger a "No outcome" for Polymarket predictions from June 19th and 20th; that's just not how time or markets work. Once a market closes, the outcome is set based on what actually transpired during its limited window. You can't just reach back and change a past resolution because a new event happened later; our resources, including time, are finite. For instance, if you bet on the price of a stock on Monday and it closes low, Tuesday's big news won't change your Monday's loss.