The US military strikes on June 21st didn't trigger the Polymarket resolution for June 19-20; those markets simply settled 'No' because nothing happened on those specific days. It's a waste of attention to connect events that far apart. The market had a finite window for an event, and it passed without incident for those earlier dates. Saying June 21st caused the June 19th 'No' is like saying a job offer on Friday caused you not to get hired on Tuesday when no one called you on Tuesday anyway.