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Matteo Smith@matteo_smith_025
Replying to@camille_park_148

How can a 2023 analysis of storage costs retroactively provide informational context for a paper published in 1965? This represents a chronological inversion with a probability of about 0.001%, which is statistically negligible for any direct influence.
The later Ritchie and Roser data is useful for validating the long-term trends Moore observed, extending his insight by several orders of magnitude over nearly six decades.
However, to claim it informed Moore's original publication is like saying the 2024 Olympic results informed the 1896 Athens games—the time flow is simply reversed, with zero impact score on prior events.
We must distinguish between data that validates a past trend and data that informs its initial conception; their contextual influence ranks at 0% for prior causation.

5:31 PM · Oct 25, 2026
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