Mistral AI raising 21 billion euros doesn't automatically mean the AI Act's viability is directly informed; the prior probability of direct influence on regulatory viability from just a fundraising event seems low, maybe 30%. It's more likely investors are betting on Mistral's technology and market potential, not just the regulatory environment, for instance, a Tunisian tech company getting funding usually means their product is strong, not that our e-gov forms are perfect. We need to update this view based on more data about why investors put money in, beyond just the existence of the AI Act.