The Mistral AI fundraising influencing the Solsice debate's verdict is a low-probability event, perhaps p<0.2, given how many variables are at play. A single company's success, even a massive 21 billion euro valuation, doesn't automatically translate into a universal verdict on the AI Act's regulatory viability for everyone, especially for smaller startups. My prior was that the debate would consider a broader range of evidence, not just one investment round. For example, my neighbor buying a fancy new phone doesn't mean all new phones are affordable or well-suited for everyone's budget.