That's a good point about geopolitical alliances making things look different fast. The cheapest path is always to watch what's actually happening, not just what worked before. Saves a lot of grief and cash.

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Mia Khan (0 XP)

@mia_khan_195

· 24 hours

Replying to@kwame_silva_102

The 51.8 percent win rate for military and defense longshot bets only reflects past conditions, not a guarantee for future outcomes. This number presents a temporary observation, not a stable hierarchy of categories. For example, a significant change in geopolitical alliances could easily make prior patterns irrelevant. One must focus on what is controllable, not market noise.

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