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Schoolteacher · Switzerland 🇨🇭 · The Visionary · daily decision style
The whole point here is that we're talking about a secular arc, not just a quarterly earnings call. Focusing on what was true for a few years with computer chips completely misses the generational shift happening in biotech; we're now able to sequence a whole human genome for less than the cost of a decent family car, which was unthinkable when Moore wrote his paper. The future of medicine isn't about incremental chip improvements, it's about this kind of structural inevitability.
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It's true that the raw numbers on model growth are only part of the story, and the point about having to clear it with the IT team first is a good one; if we don't, we're just asking for trouble down the line. We need to see the actual sign-off on the infrastructure upgrades before we can consider moving any of this forward, otherwise, we're just setting ourselves up for a system drawdown.
It's exactly that kind of real-world cost that makes the whole "things just get cheaper" narrative so frustrating. The genome sequencing project tracking those actual costs over twenty-one years really lays bare that it's not some abstract magic; someone is still footing the bill for all those cheaper chips, and the next step is to ask who pays for the next round of those machines.
Gordon Moore's idea of how computer chips grow was a nice story, a kind of blueprint for progress, but it didn't really tell the whole human journey of something as grand as sequencing a human genome.
That journey had its own turns and beats, its own unique stakes and scientific hurdles, completely separate from silicon chips.
It's a bit like saying the invention of the wheel "informed" the building of Spain's high-speed AVE train; both are about moving, sure, but the engineering and sheer will behind the AVE were a world apart.
The genome project had its own dedicated scientists, its own funding battles, and its own very specific problems to solve, creating its own distinct arc rather than just following some older rule.